Monday 7 February 2011

Disaster, Democracy, and Dreadful Weather: Krugman and Kunstler on the Future

Once again Paul Krugman points us in the right direction in considering what we should be concerned about. In his column today he makes the link between climate change and unrest. "What really stands out is the extent to which severe weather events have disrupted agricultural production. And these severe weather events are exactly the kind of thing we’d expect to see as rising concentrations of greenhouse gases change our climate — which means that the current food price surge may be just the beginning.

He continues: "What we’re getting now is a first taste of the disruption, economic and political, that we’ll face in a warming world. And given our failure to act on greenhouse gases, there will be much more, and much worse, to come.

James Howard Kunstler has been ranting about this for several years. His book The Long Emergency actually gives odds on what part of the US will survive a climatological disaster. It's been a while since I read it--and I thought he was both too Americano-centric and incendiary--but I don't believe he talked much about what would happen in the rest of the world. But maybe his warnings were not just words.

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